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ProductJanuary 28, 2026

Monte Carlo Simulations for Generative Optimization

Monte Carlo simulations have been used for decades in finance, physics, and engineering to model uncertainty. Now, we're applying the same principles to understand AI search behavior.

How It Works

  1. Define Variables: : We identify the key factors that influence AI recommendations (price point, feature set, positioning, etc.)
  2. Generate Variations: : We create thousands of prompt contexts with controlled variable changes
  3. Run Simulations: : Each variation is tested across multiple LLM providers
  4. Analyze Results: : We identify patterns and thresholds in citation behavior

A Real Example

Consider a CRM startup competing with Salesforce and HubSpot. Traditional SEO would focus on keywords like "best CRM software." But LLMs don't process queries the same way.

Our simulations revealed that: - At price points below $50/user/month, the startup was cited 15% of the time - Above $100/user/month, citations dropped to 2% - Adding "AI-powered" to the positioning increased citations by 40%

This data is actionable. It tells you exactly what to adjust and how much.

Beyond Vanity Metrics

Unlike impressions or click-through rates, Decision Boundary data is precise. You know exactly where you stand and what it takes to move the needle.

That's the power of Generative Optimization.